Sunday, September 22, 2019

Tropical Storm Karen Forms, Worth Keeping an Eye On

Hello Everyone!

A new tropical storm, Karen, has formed in the Eastern Caribbean, near Trinidad and Tobago. 

cone graphic
Image From www.nhc.noaa.gov

The storm is forecast to move to the northwest and then north, probably passing near Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands in a couple days. From there, the track could get tricky.  It's possible the storm could scoot out to sea, but there is a big ridge of high pressure forecast to form to the north.


Image From www.tropicaltidbits.com


If Karen gets under this ridge, it could get forced back to the west or southwest.  This is reflected in some of the ECMWF ensemble solutions.  So this could be something for the Bahamas and Florida to watch by next weekend.


Image From www.weathernerds.org

So it's too early to worry too much, as a lot could change, but this could be one to watch!

Remember to check www.nhc.noaa.gov for the latest official information.

Andy

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