A new tropical storm, Karen, has formed in the Eastern Caribbean, near Trinidad and Tobago.

Image From www.nhc.noaa.gov
The storm is forecast to move to the northwest and then north, probably passing near Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands in a couple days. From there, the track could get tricky. It's possible the storm could scoot out to sea, but there is a big ridge of high pressure forecast to form to the north.

Image From www.tropicaltidbits.com
If Karen gets under this ridge, it could get forced back to the west or southwest. This is reflected in some of the ECMWF ensemble solutions. So this could be something for the Bahamas and Florida to watch by next weekend.

Image From www.weathernerds.org
So it's too early to worry too much, as a lot could change, but this could be one to watch!
Remember to check www.nhc.noaa.gov for the latest official information.
Andy
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