Thursday, September 12, 2019

The Atlantic Tropics are Coming to Life Again

Hello Everyone,

After a short break post-Dorian, the Atlantic tropics are coming to life again. 


Image From www.nhc.noaa.gov

The National Hurricane Center is highlighting two areas of concern.

Bahamas Wave (Invest 95L)
The system of more immediate concern is a trough of low pressure in the Bahamas.  It is not a tropical depression yet, but is forecast to become one soon.  Satellite imagery shows a broad area of showers and thunderstorms trying to coalesce.

Image From www.weathernerds.org

The forecast for this system is tricky. Some models bring it across the state as a weak tropical storm.  Others keep it offshore of Florida, but turn it into a significant hurricane that could threaten the U.S. East Coast.  Either way, the Bahamas appear likely to get more wind and rain this week - not nearly as bad as Dorian, but something they don't need.  Due to the uncertainty in the forecast, people along both the Gulf and East coasts need to keep a close eye on this as we head towards the weekend.  An Air Force Hurricane Hunter flight is scheduled to check out the area this afternoon.

Image From www.weathernerds.org


Atlantic Wave

There is another wave way out in the Atlantic that is moving towards the Caribbean.  It may not develop for several days, but models show a chance of it becoming a tropical storm or hurricane in the Caribbean, and following the path of several storms this year it could move towards the Southwest Atlantic afterwards.  This is still a long way out, but it's a good reminder to be ready as the peak of the hurricane season looks to be a busy one!

As always, get official hurricane info from the National Hurricane Center at:

www.nhc.noaa.gov

Let me know if you have any questions!

Andy

1 comment:

  1. Do the Air Force and NOAA take turns flying into hurricanes?

    ReplyDelete