Good Morning Everyone!
Elsa is continuing to move along this morning, now just southwest of Cuba. The storm has 65 mph winds (strong tropical storm). It will likely weaken a little bit when it moves over Cuba, but should still be a moderate to strong tropical storm in the Gulf of Mexico.
Image from www.tropicaltidbits.com
Elsa is forecast to move along or probably just offshore the west coast of Florida. The storm will be "sheared" from the west, such that most of the heaviest rain will be east and northeast of the center. This can be seen in an example forecast from the NOAA Global Forecast System (GFS) for Tuesday evening:
Image from www.weathernerds.org
Even if the shear keeps the storm from intensifying significantly, heavy rain and gusty winds are possible along the West Coast of Florida and nearby inland areas throughout much of the day Tuesday, and into North Florida on Tuesday night and Wednesday. Tropical Storm Watches and Warnings are up for much of the West Coast of Florida.
Image from www.nhc.noaa.gov
Stay safe everyone!
Andy
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